Focused Capital. Asymmetric Upside.

About us

Long-Term Conviction Capital is a privately held investment strategy.We deploy capital into a concentrated portfolio of high-conviction positions backed by deep research and sized for maximum upside while protecting downside through defensive position and active hedging.Powered by analysis, lived experience, and selectively applied AI insight.Independently owned. 100% founder capital at risk.

Disclaimer: This site does not provide financial advice or investment services. Full disclaimer in footer.

01 | Performance

Goal: 10% annual outperformance vs. the S&P 500 (GBP – VUAG)

Period: January 1 – June 1, 2025

Note: FX adjustment reflects an ~11% rise in GBP/USD over the period, with ~85% of the portfolio USD-exposed.

02 | Our Edge

Our edge comes from concentrated capital in a few deeply researched ideas, paired with tactical optionality and hedging.
This creates calm, clarity, and simplicity — and leads to a market-leading understanding of what we own.How we achieve edge:1. Deep Research & Ownership Mindset
We study businesses as if we own them — attending earnings calls, reading full transcripts, tracking industry news, and understanding customer experiences firsthand.2. High-Conviction Concentration
We allocate meaningfully to just a few asymmetric bets — enabling clarity, simplicity, and performance that diversification can’t replicate.3. Thesis-Led Investing
Every position is backed by a clear, compelling thesis — grounded in fundamentals and focused on long-term structural upside.4. Tactical Scaling & Execution
We use methodical buy ladders, technical indicators (RSI, MACD), and trim/reload tactics to manage positions with precision — not emotion.5. Optionality & Hedging
We defend against downside through cash buffers, options, and FX-aware positioning — preserving capital and keeping us agile.6. AI-Powered Advantage
We integrate AI across the investing lifecycle — from thesis generation and technical scanning to stress testing, scenario planning, and edge identification. It’s like having a 24/7 analyst embedded in our workflow.Conviction enables us to act faster, hold longer, and outperform investors who spread themselves too thin.

We invest with asymmetric intent - targeting 2-5x upside opportunities while limiting downside risk through disciplined portfolio construction:

03 | Latest Thinking

Performance updates, investment theses, and market frameworks via The Conviction Play on Substack.We write about ideas we’ve studied, held, or currently hold — including:
– Grindr (GRND)
– Bumble (BMBL)
– Bank of Georgia (BGEO.L)We also share decision frameworks, execution lessons, and reflections from managing capital in real time.→ Read on Substack

• @convictionplay

04 | Our Pledge

At Long-Term Conviction Capital, we believe that capital should create more than just returns.We commit to donating 1% of annual realized gains to causes that reflect our values — with a focus on long-term value creation for underrepresented communities — with scope to increase this as fund scale permits.Our goal is to prove that conviction-led investing and stakeholder impact are not at odds — they can reinforce each other.Capital with clarity. Returns with responsibility.

05 | Management Letters

Internal management updates documenting performance, portfolio decisions, and operational insights. These letters capture our real-time thinking and decision-making process.
2025 Q2 and H1 letter coming soon.
→ Read latest letter

• 2025 Mid-Year Letter

06 | Join the Conversation

Access our ideas, insights, and real-time thoughts via @convictionplayx on x.

• @convictionplayx

07 | Our Activities

01 | Strategy

A privately held, multi-asset strategy built to capture asymmetric, mispriced opportunities.We concentrate capital into high-upside equities while maintaining flexibility through cash reserves, bonds, and tactical hedges.

02 | Approach

Our portfolio spans developed and select emerging markets—anchored in the US, guided by deep research, individual edge, and macro awareness.We combine bottom-up conviction with top-down intelligence to allocate dynamically across market cycles.

03 | Fund Architecture

04 | Our Edge

05 | Mandate

2025 Mid-Year

Get in touch via the email below.

Disclaimer: The Conviction Fund is a personal investment vehicle. This is not a public offering or a solicitation for outside capital.

• Get in touch via X

Fund Overview

The Conviction Fund is a privately held, multi-asset capital strategy focused on capturing asymmetric opportunities where long-term value is underappreciated by markets.We concentrate capital into high-upside equities while maintaining structural flexibility through cash reserves, bonds, and tactical hedges.Our portfolio spans developed and select emerging markets — anchored in the US and guided by deep research, macro awareness, and a long-term perspective on value creation.We aim to preserve and grow capital across market cycles through disciplined position sizing, downside protection, and conviction-led investing.Independently owned. 100% founder capital at risk.Disclaimer: The Conviction Fund is a private investment vehicle managing personal capital. This site does not constitute a public offering, investment solicitation, or financial advice. This page is for informational purposes only.

Founder Overview

Harry is the founder and Chief Strategist of the Conviction Fund, a privately managed investment strategy focused on uncovering overlooked opportunities in public markets — where long-term value and real-world impact are misjudged or underappreciated by the broader market.With over 15 years of international market experience spanning 20+ countries, Harry previously served as a Global Market Strategist at EY’s global executive headquarters in London. There, he led market analysis and strategy implementation — driving growth plans for major clients and helping to shape EY’s global long-term value and go-to-market offerings.He contributed to pioneering stakeholder capitalism initiatives including the Embankment Project for Inclusive Capitalism and the World Economic Forum’s International Business Council Towards Common Metrics initiative, with a focus on multi-stakeholder value creation and corporate transformation.A globally experienced professional who has lived in over ten countries — including London, Beijing, Hong Kong, Singapore, Cape Town, and locations across Europe — and visited nearly 70, Harry brings a multi-market perspective to his investment decisions. He is conversational in Mandarin Chinese.Named by Brummell Magazine as one of London’s Top 30 Ones to Watch Under 40, Harry now applies the same global insight and strategic rigour to public markets — investing his own capital with focus and conviction.

• Get in touch via X

Photo from EY’s Long-Term Value in Energy & Utilities Summit (New York), where Harry helped arrange a summit focused on stakeholder value creation. The event aligned with broader work inspired by the Embankment Project for Inclusive Capitalism, chaired by Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild (pictured).

At the Conviction Fund, we believe that capital should create more than just returns.We commit to donating 1% of proceeds to causes that reflect our values — with a focus on long-term value creation for overlooked communities — with scope to increase this as fund scale permits.Our goal is to prove that conviction-led investing and stakeholder impact are not at odds — they can reinforce each other.Capital with clarity. Returns with responsibility.